← Pikku Play Store championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Pikku Play Store championship
decks
2
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.3%
avg ELO +5.0 per match
expected value
58.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1569
· median 1569
· range 1519–1619
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1236
Q3 1442
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.0 |
| Water Fractal | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
